August 16, 2007

The 2007 Week by Week Husker Preview

You nagging jackasses. First you bitch I post too much. Then you piss and moan that everything is stale. Then you complain that I talk about stuff you don't care about. Well like I said 800 times, there's a reason I can't get in too deep until the first of the month. Trust me, it will make sense later, and you will get the same old hard-hitting, hate filled original profanity that you've come to expect here. Do not fret.

With that being said, we can finally get a better idea of just how most of your hopes and dreams are going to come crashing down this fall. There's no better way to do that than to stare into my crystal ball and get a glimpse of how the Fraud Express is going to derail. We will obviously touch on all of these games as they come, but here is the entire Husker season in a nutshell as I see it.

Enjoy

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Week 1 - Vs. Nevada
Probable odds: Nebraska (-25 to -29)
Possible excuses: Still learning the system, "It's early"


What may happen: Nevada is no slouch. The pistol offense is designed to exploit weaknesses on the fly moving side to side, and let's face it...your cornerbacks suck. The pack put the fear of God into Miami last season, and let's face it...are you REALLY that much better than Miami? They beat Northwestern (let's face it, are you really that much better than Northwestern either?) and fell short against ASU and Fresno. Despite the allure of throwing the ball over crappy DB's, Nevada was very good running the ball last year. Good thing you have experienced and NFL caliber D-linemen. Oh wait, no you don't.

What will probably happen: Husker magic always seems to be it's strongest against mediocre teams at home. Nevada is about the 8th or 9th toughest team you'll face this year, and I'm sure your red-clad thugs will be bouncing around as if they were shot by a taser on O-Street. (Some of them may have on Friday night.) WAC teams always come in wide eyed and wilt like Mark Mangino's BVD's. Nevada isn't La Tech, but I expect them to be timid at the sight of 85,000 rednecks clad in the same t-shirt they got on sale at Husker Hounds.

Official BEL prediction: Nebraska 27 - Nevada 17




Week 2 - At Wake Forest
Probable odds: Nebraska (-6 to -8)
Possible excuses: Mean fans, 1st Road Game, Too hot

What may happen: We've all seen what happens when Kevin Cosgrove faces a spread offense on the road. We've all seen what happens when a "developing program" takes on the hicks in what is sure to be their biggest home game in years. (If they're not ducking them like Houston). NU may control the ball with JC Keller flipping the ball toward some pretty weak DB's in the D Deacon defensive backfield. Wake was just bad enough against the run last year to have trouble with Callahan's 15-20 flea flickers and HB option passes per game. The Huskers could stick around for a while and make the home fans awfully nervous.

What will probably happen: Wake is going to roll over your shitty DB's like s steamroller. Cosgrove couldn't stop a spread offense (especially one he hasn't seen much of) if he had the 85 Bears dressed in white and red. Wake has played in some huge games of late, and expect JC to melt in the moment. Dude is going to be passing out interceptions left and right, and Wake will remind you that it's not 2003 anymore. This team won a tough ACC for a reason. You'll soon find out why.

Official BEL prediction: Wake Forest 35 - Nebraska 17





Week 3 - Vs. USC
Probable odds: USC (-12 to -15)
Possible excuses: They cheat, "Hey, they're USC"

What may happen: USC receivers may get bored running routes around clueless NU defenders. It's likely to be warm that night, so leg cramps are also a concern. Pete Carroll showed some compassion last year by letting up on the gas, as Bill Callahan turtled up like a 5'5' defenseman going up against Chris Pronger. Carroll may just feel bad enough to do the same this year.

What will probably happen: USC is going to sodomize a putrid NU secondary in new and exciting ways. If you can't handle Adam Barmann...how in the HELL are you going to handle John David Booty? If you can't score inside the OU 50 just once in 19 times...how in the HELL are you going to score on that team? Keller is going to prove that 2005 was no fluke, as he tries to "make plays" and hand out picks left and right. USC will remind you once and again that it's going to take that giant telescope in Puerto Rico to see just how far you have to go to be a great team.

Official BEL prediction: USC 49 - Nebraska 10




Week 4 - Vs. Ball State
Probable odds: Nebraska (-19 to -26)
Possible excuses: Whole team has mono, Refs are BSU grads


What may happen: Despite their 5-7 record last season, Ball State proved to be rather salty at times. A one point loss at Purdue (are you really that much better than Purdue?), close losses to Michigan and Toledo prove this team can play a little bit. Like Nevada and Wake, the Cards can whip the ball around a little bit, and will most likely work over the returning #79 passing defense in the nation. They may be able to stick around and scare the living hell out of the hicks..especially a week after getting ass pounded by USC the week before.

What will probably happen: Ball State is still Ball State and again the site of all those farmers in matching gear is somewhat intimidating. With Jason Whitlock watching on, Ball State will fall behind early, and then use their passing game (coupled with NU's inability to stop anyone) to stick around for a while. Far and away the easiest game on NU's schedule...which is pathetic. BSU's pass defense was awful last season, and JC's gonna be on a mission to rack up some numbers to solidify that upcoming 8th round draft slot.

Official BEL prediction: Nebraska 24 - Ball State 13




Week 5 - Vs. Iowa State
Probable odds: Nebraska (-14 to -17)
Possible excuses: Weather, Thinking about Mizzou, Injuries

What may happen: ISU is going to take some lumps this year while learning the ways of a brand new coach. However, Blythe and Meyer are back, and both of those guys can play. The Clones ended 2006 with a win* over Mizzou in Dan McCartney's final game. Meyer could find some consistency to again exploit the completely ineptness of the NU secondary and brutally overrated LB corps. If ISU can pick up momentum with wins over Iowa and Toledo, they may find that swagger again.

What will probably happen: ISU returns 8 starters on defense, and has had NU's number before. Unfortunately for them, they typically melt at Memorial Stadium, and this year's squad is definitely going through more than enough turmoil and transition to distract them. I wouldn't be shocked if ISU won this game or even made some noise in the north. However, history, that "woe is us" attitude and my long-standing grudge for making my picks last year look stupid tell me otherwise.

Official BEL prediction: Nebraska 23 - Iowa State 21




Week 6 - At Missouri
Probable odds: Missouri (Even to -6.5)
Possible excuses: My blog, Fans are evil, out of control riot after game

What may happen: God hates Missouri. Gary Pinkel puckers up in a pinch. That is the ONLY reason Missouri loses this game. In every single facet, I'd take Mizzou's personnel. When you have long-standing local media telling people off the record that this team is loaded (when they usually bash the team and go to the "they'll always choke" card), you know something is up. That old black magic may kick in a bit and cause that whole "here we go again" mentality to sneak back in. Despite the Kool-Aid drinking predictions of Husker dipshits worldwide, Mizzou's defense is not as bad as you think. However, turnovers and ball control could keep NU in the game for longer than the usual 3 quarters.

What will probably happen: I wish you all knew how hard this is for me, but looking simply at matchups and numbers, you have no idea how stacked Mizzou is on offense. 3,900 yards at QB. 1000+ yards returning at tailback. Not one but TWO all-American tight end candidates. An experienced line. A defense that doesn't return starters, but does return guys who filled in large chunks of playing time to fill in for injury. Missouri is going to work the shitty Husker defense like a Millard cheerleader on a Saturday night, and this board will be the epicenter of absolute Armageddon. TRUST ME, I know Mizzou has faults and yes, God really does hate them. But on paper, it's a horrible matchup for NU and it's at a place that will be more rowdy, more hate-filled and surly than anyplace you've seen. Manhattan and Boulder will look like a Doc Severinsen concert compared to Faurot at 8pm. You've been warned.

Official BEL prediction: Missouri 41 - Nebraska 24




Week 7 - Vs. Oklahoma State
Probable odds: Nebraska (-3.5 to -5)
Possible excuses: Frank Solich recruits, the color orange.


What may happen: Adarius Bowman. Worried yet? You probably should be. Needless to say, ya'all didn't handle the mighty OSU offense in Stillwater very well, and the pokes should be better this season. Bobby Reid returns, which doesn't bode well again for your horrid DB's. (I'm sensing a pattern here). The key here is Okie State's ability to bounce back after a tough game with Texas A&M the week before. The pokes aren't real deep, but they have MORE than enough playmakers to beat the hicks on their home turf.

What will probably happen: Every single year, NU pulls some game out of their ass that they have no business winning. Texas A&M was that game last year. Colorado was the example two years ago. Back to back blocked field goals against Pitt, balls kicked over 3 players' head. You get the idea. OSU certainly has the ability, but they're no match for some supernatural phenomenon that shines down on you people at least once a year during the fall. Consider this my upset special for you.

Official BEL prediction: Nebraska 35 - Oklahoma State 34




Week 8 - Vs. Texas A&M
Probable odds: Texas A&M (-2.5 to -4)
Possible excuses: Javorskie Lane on roids, officials love Texas teams.

What may happen: This is a horrible matchup for Nebraska. Obviously, the NU defensive backfield isn't too scary, but during this game, the untested and inability to tackle is going to kill NU. A&M is absolutely loaded on defense, which is bad news for JC and Marlon Lucky...considering both of them will probably be out with injury by this time in the season if history is of any lesson. So will Joey Ganz be able to carry the corn over that good of a defense? Probably not, but A&M is just erratic enough (they almost lost to Army last year?) to keep NU in it.

What will probably happen: Of all the 2007 losses, this one may be the least expected. Beating Texas in Austin last year was no fluke...I don't care who UT's quarterback was. The Aggies won every single true road game last year. That's kinda hard to do. As much as I see the hicks holding on for dear life against Okie State, this is simply too crappy of a matchup for them to pass up. A&M rolls with ease as mass panic erupts in the streets.

Official BEL prediction: Texas A&M 28 - Nebraska 17



Week 9 - At Texas
Probable odds: Texas (-13 to -17.5)
Possible excuses: Texas refs still crooked. Keller/Lucky injured.

What may happen: I guess the entire UT team could come down with the flu or something? Perhaps Mack Brown inadvertently could be found paying for meals or perhaps is found in the company of an underage Asian prostitute? No matter what it is, despite what some idiots around here think, UT is loaded and their big receivers will destroy Andre and the 3 elves. Texas has had a tendency to take a home game off or two...such as the A&M game last year, or the Missouri game a few years ago, where Brad Smith came within a score of winning. You don't have Brad Smith.

What will probably happen: Same as USC, Longhorn receivers cornhole the blackskirts time and time again. Joey Ganz will most likely be wearing an adult diaper by the time he looks over the line and sees the amount of 5-star players UT has on defense. And that's all that really matters anyway right?

Official BEL prediction: Texas 45 - Nebraska 13




Week 10 - At Kansas
Probable odds: Nebraska (-21 to -24)
Possible excuses: Mangino cheats, Team bus tires slashed


What may happen: The fat man has the Great Raider Flunky's (C) number. Even with minimal talent last year, the flaming Jaychickens came within an eyelash of beating NU at home. Adam Barmann is gone, and in his wake, you have one guy who is 5'3 and the other is quite possible the worst college QB I've ever seen. To make matters worse for KU, Cornish is gone, much to the relief of the NU defense, which will be licking wounds and re-attaching limbs after the beatdown they receive the week before. Never underestimate a fat guy with a plan though. 40-15 wasn't that long ago.

What will probably happen: SURELY you people can't lose to a team like KU? I understand your QB is overrated, your RB is injury prone, your o-line is slow and your defense is horrible...but SURELY you can beat KU..even on the road? Right? Right? As much as I would like to think that even Nebraska has enough talent to beat a horrible KU team...the coaching comparison is no contest. I'll give you the benefit of the doubt for now.

Official BEL prediction: Nebraska 24 - Kansas 19



Week 11 - Vs. Kansas State
Probable odds: Nebraska (-14 to -17.5)
Possible excuses: "It's cold out". "K-State cheats."

What may happen: Josh Freeman may be just pissed off enough at you people to have a great game. Obviously the kid has some tools, and Ron Prince's team seems to be heading in the right direction, as obviously stated by a big win over Texas last year. Some of the Cat's talent should be peaking, and despite the troubles at times last year, KSU always seems to be able to get up for Nebraska...which isn't always the case for NU lately. K-State could easily make life difficult for the hicks with ball control and turnovers.

What will probably happen: K-State isn't quite there yet. By this point in the season, we should know whether or not Freeman is for real. It seems to me also that Prince is working to get more comfortable leading this squad, which Bill Snyder proved is certainly capable of running of large numbers of wins. K-State will beat Nebraska in Lincoln again soon...but I don't think it will be this year..especially without a Darren Sproles type guy to keep the fat overrated NU d-line off balance. NU will celebrate bowl eligibility by making their own 8 foot trophy and present it to team captains in a wild on-field ceremony after the game.

Official BEL prediction: Nebraska 27 - Kansas State 21




Week 12 - At Colorado
Probable odds: Nebraska (-12 to -15)
Possible excuses: CU fans are "animals'. "Those aren't snowballs"


What may happen: I really have no idea what to expect out of CU this year. Obviously I think they're going to be much better, considering I picked them* to win the North this season. By the end of year two in the Dan Hawkins system, you would think things would start to take shape in terms of picking up key wins. CU's problem last year was that they couldn't score. Two years of putting pieces of the spread together (another theme) could spell trouble for Nebraska...which as we've stated..can't stop a spread offense if their bail bonds were at stake. Nebraska probably has a talent advantage here, if ever so slight. However, with the game being late in the year, and CU sharing their own hatred of all things red, the table is set for payback over the last couple of years. If the weather is bad, as it often is...how do you like JC's chances in a blizzard?

What will probably happen: My head says CU isn't quite ready to beat a team like NU at this point, but by the end of the season, that won't be the case. If Hawkins can install his own offense and find a rhythm to his madness, they're going to be scary. Husker fans have developed an old-fashioned arrogance over CU that hasn't been seen in recent decades. I would think that would ignite that passion to crush the Huskers and possibly be the key to bowl eligibility themselves. Too many intangibles here not to take CU on senior day.

Official BEL prediction: Colorado 16 - Nebraska 10

6-6 overall
4-4 in the Big 12
Hello Shreveport

There you go. Commence bitching.


Legal Stuff - Special thanks to the helmet project at nationalchamps.net. All helmets and logos are copyright property of those particular individual universities

20 Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

How do you get dumber every week? I'm not even sure where to begin.

Idiot

3:54 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

You write everythign I feel.

Keep up the great work.

EMAW

4:07 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I'm actually glad you've gone on record saying that you couldn't predict your way out of a paper bag...

By the way, it seems you've gone out on a limb on the Missouri score. How clever.

I've noticed a trend among Missouri, Colorado and K-State fans... you expend more energy hating Nebraska than you do rooting for your own teams.

I'm sure your university thanks you for your support!

5:57 PM  
Blogger A J said...

What on earth makes you think it won't be 41-24 again? Seems like a no -brainer to me.

Oh..and I'm sure that whole obsession thing doesn't go both ways. Perhaps I've failed to see countless stories on Mizzou in the World Herald...1620 devoted a whole show to Mizzou today, and you seem to spend quite a bit of time here as well.

Think before you type.

PS - I would have picked 58 - 0, but I'm sure you and your merry band of kool-aid drinkers would have pissed and moaned about it.

Boo hoo

6:29 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I surely hope that this person inherited a lot of money. Judging by his predictions it is very clear to the world that this clown could never exist in the business world other than a dishwasher.

7:01 PM  
Blogger A J said...

I find it ironic that hicks write in all the time, accusing me of this or that..yet never back it up with facts.

"Sam Keller is gonna be great"
"Lucky will be so much better"

Same old same old every single year.

Nebraska lost 5 games last year for the 3rd time in 30+ years...yet everybody is so excited about their direction. You're all ignorant. That "direction" is led by a guy who destroyed a Super Bowl team in less than 24 months.

Idiots. All of you.

7:46 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

ohmygosh

you mean that the Pride of Nebraska, the very Cornhuskers themselves, have to take their Fluke Victory of the Year against the Okie State Cowboys from Stillwater, Oklahoma!?!

Wow, how the (m)ighty have fallen.

I'm just glad I don't live in Nebraska

9:07 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

AJ, you complete me. Nebraska, you make me ill...Mizzou 41 - 24 Nebraska...

9:34 PM  
Blogger Unknown said...

Great work, as always. I laughed, I cried (from laughing), and I led the drive to shut the Huskers out of our stadium on 10/6/07. Why? A couple of reasons... I can't stand the smell when they visit, and I can't stand their arrogance. Too bad for Husker fans they can't afford big screen TVs or they could watch the game in HD since they can't attend. Poor kids. Later. VP

AJ - shoot me an email. mizzou.sports@gmail.com

9:43 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Why call a brother out for checking out an update? I'm glad to know that you're tracking IP addresses. The whole thing is, if you post something online, don't you expect somebody to read it? Shouldn't you at the very least enjoy that there are some of us out there that don't agree with you, but enjoy your writing and don't tell you to eat shit?

At this point, your writing only caters to the Missouri fan that's sad because they have absolutely ZERO athletic tradition on any front, and wants others to feel just as miserable. As sad as it is, I mean, at the very least NU fan has "the good ole' days". Missouri's never had ANY days. You're better than that.

11:18 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Seriously, would you be willing to put money on any of these games, because I would love to be your bookie!!!!! Nice writting, but the material sucks.

7:47 AM  
Blogger A J said...

"Catering" to Missouri fans?

Oh no you didn't.

And no, I'm not tracking IP addresses...I don't give a shit. All I do is track what state they come from and what message board links them. that's it. Hell, I've approved every single thing JP and OHF have posted for over two years. Trust me..I don't care that much.

As for the guy who says if I'm willing money to put down on these games? Ummm...I'm one guy. If you want hard-hitting sports journalism, go to ESPN.com or CBS SPortsline. I don't get paid to care all that much. When you boil down to it...this blog exists more for me than for you.

You're just the lucky beneficiary of it.

8:26 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

AJ,

It's hard for me to make any predictions on this year's version of the Huskers, but I think you let your hatred get the better of you on the Nevada game prediciton. If they still had Jeff Rowe running that offense, I'd say it might be close. They lost their top running back and Rowe to graduation. On top of that, they have to replace 3 O lineman, including their center. I think this one could be ugly for Nevada...

Randy

9:39 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

How hilarious are these comments, "Think before you type", and "never back it up with facts", coming from the THUGS=HAPPY FANS guy.

Guys like Joe, who "led a drive" to shutout Nebraska fans from the Mizzou game. Stop and think about that, he didn't try and get people more excited about Mizzou football, he just tried to get them to hate Nebraska fans more. Heck it sounded like Joe didn't even care about the outcome of the game itself, so long as Husker fans didn't show up, tell me that's not a sign of class.

EMAW, sounds like he is spanking his monkey to a picture of AJ right at this moment. He sounds like the type of guy that believes Michael Moore is doing documentaries.

9:43 AM  
Blogger A J said...

Randy, you may be right. But hey...I said you would win. That's gotta count for something right?

10:56 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

AJ,

As much as you'd like to say we will go 0-12, you have to credit us with a few wins somewhere, so I guess it's worth something ;-)

Randy

4:08 PM  
Blogger A J said...

It was tough, trust me.

4:36 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Hey I'm a Jayhawk living in Omaha and I read AJ's blog because even though he hates my team (like he should) he still called out the lack of class NU fans and students showed our team last year.

I don't agree with everything he says. But he has you guys pegged like only someone living here can.

11:15 AM  
Blogger A J said...

Thanks anonymous KU fan. I appreciate the kind words and the fact that you stop by and enjoy the blog.

Your team sucks donkey sack.

Thanks,
AJ

5:59 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

AJ,

If I was betting money on games I sure as hell would not be getting advice from you. My question to you is would you be willing to put money on your picks, not would I be willing to. Any college football fan would look at your spread and fall the F@#$ over laughing, and did your mom ever tell you that if you do not have any thing nice to say don't say it at all. So on that note I will at least say that you are a pretty good writer.

11:07 PM  

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